Petroleum Science >2026, Issue11: 7249-7265 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.petsci.2026.06.038
An improved multi-task learning framework for coupled prediction of pressure and temperature during well drilling Open Access
文章信息
作者:Xue-Rui Wang, Yuan-Ze Tian, Bao-Jiang Sun, Zhi-Yuan Wang, Yong-Hai Gao, Hao Li
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引用方式:Wang, X.R., Tian, Y.Z., Sun, B.J., et al., 2026. An improved multi-task learning framework for coupled prediction of pressure and temperature during well drilling. Pet. Sci. 23 (11), 7249–7265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.petsci.2026.06.038.
文章摘要
In recent years, petroleum exploration has increasingly shifted toward deepwater and ultra-deep formations, with the most critical technical challenges being the narrow safe drilling window. Accurate wellbore pressure prediction is essential to prevent drilling hazards. Current prediction methods face significant limitations: physical models rely on idealized assumptions and empirical formulas with limited applicability, while machine learning approaches predominantly focus on single field prediction, neglecting multi-field coupling effects. To address these limitations, this paper innovatively proposes a coupled prediction method for wellbore pressure and temperature. The main contribution lies in integrating a customized gate control (CGC) multi-task framework with an efficient channel attention (ECA) optimized TCN-BiLSTM architecture. This framework employs ECA-optimized temporal convolutional networks (TCN) as expert modules to dynamically extract static and dynamic features, intelligently emphasizing key high-dimensional time-series channels. Simultaneously, customized gating units achieve fine-grained feature sharing, preserving positive transfer between temperature and pressure tasks while isolating negative transfer. Task-specific bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) networks are then utilized for the final coupled prediction. Extensive experimental results quantitatively demonstrate the modelʼs superiority. Compared to state-of-the-art single-task and physical models, the proposed method reduces the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by up to 94.98% for pressure and 95.28% for temperature, while improving the R2 metric by 26.84% and 20.38%, respectively. Furthermore, compared to traditional multi-task learning models, it reduces pressure and temperature MAPE by 63.05% and 71.88%, respectively, maintaining exceptional accuracy even during abrupt changes and intense drilling fluctuations. Validated in field applications at an oilfield, this approach provides a novel technical solution for precise prediction and coordinated monitoring of wellbore pressure and temperature during drilling operations.
关键词
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Multi-task learning; Wellbore pressure-temperature prediction; Deep learning; TCN-BiLSTM; Customized gate control (CGC); Coupling prediction