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首页» 过刊浏览» 2016» Vol. 1» Issue (2) 286-292     DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2016.02.024
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油气资源禀赋与产油国经济增长关系的实证研究
刘明明,王震,潘燕妮
1 中国石油大学( 北京) 中国能源战略研究院,北京 102249 2 中国石油天然气集团政策研究室,北京 100003
An empirical study of the linkage between oil and gas resource abundance and economic growth in oil-producing countries
LIU Mingming, WANG Zhen, PAN Yanni
1 Academy of Chinese Energy Strategy, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China 2 CNPC Policy Research Office, Beijing 100007, China

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摘要  石油和天然气资源是一国经济发展的重要驱动力,但许多重要产油国优异的资源禀赋并没有有效地促进本国经济增长,背后原因值得探讨。本文以1980-2014 年间全球重要产油国的经济增长差异为研究对象,在Sachs和Warner框架的基础上,对产油国经济增长水平与油气资源丰裕度之间的相关性进行了分析。研究表明,产油国经济增长与油气资源丰裕度之间具有显著的负相关性,即使在加入开放度、投资、贸易条件、人力资本、制度等因素后,负相关性依然存在,产油国“资源诅咒”命题确实成立。在此基础上,本文对丰富的油气资源阻滞经济增长的传导机制进行了分析,结果验证了“荷兰病”效应、人力资本积累不足、制度质量弱化都是产油国油气资源阻滞经济增长的作用渠道,其中又以人力资本积累不足影响最大。
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关键词 : 产油国; 资源诅咒; 传导机制; 制度; 人力资本
Abstract

  Oil and gas resources should be an important driver of a country’s economic development, however, rich resources endowment in many oil-producing countries do not promote the growth of their economies, and this is worth further study. Based on Sachs and Warner’s analytical framework, this paper makes a thorough investigation on the relationships between natural resource abundance and economic growth of important oil-producing countries using their 35 years’ economic development differences from 1980 to 2014. The results show that the relationship still holds negative even after controlling relevant growth variables such as openness, investment, terms of trade, human capital and regime, This confirms the hypothesis of “the Resource Curse” in oil-producing countries. This paper also studies the transmission channels of “Resource Curse”, and finds that insufficient human capital has the largest impact.

Key words: oil-producing countries ; resource curse ; transmission channel ; regime ; human capital
收稿日期: 2016-07-06     
PACS:    
基金资助:国家软科学研究计划项目(2013GXS3B049)、中国石油大学( 北京) 科研基金(2462014YJRC025、2462015YQ1401) 资助
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刘明明,王震,潘燕妮. 油气资源禀赋与产油国经济增长关系的实证研究[J]. 石油科学通报, 2016, 1(2): 286-292. LIU Mingming, WANG Zhen, PAN Yanni. An empirical study of the linkage between oil and gas resource abundance and economic growth in oil-producing countries. 石油科学通报, 2016, 1(2): 286-292.
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