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中国油气资源研究现状与发展方向
贾承造1,2,3,庞雄奇1,2,姜福杰1,2
1 油气资源与探测国家重点实验室,北京 102249 2 中国石油大学 ( 北京 ),北京 102249 3中国石油天然气集团公司,北京 1007
Research status and development directions of hydrocarbon resources in China
JIA Chengzao, PANG Xiongqi, JIANG Fujie
1 State Key Laboratory of Petroleum Resource and Prospecting, Beijing 102249 2 China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249 3 China National Petroleum Corporation, Beijing 100724

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摘要  中国油气资源将长期处于短缺状态。自 1993 年中国成为石油净进口国以来,油气进口量逐年增加,2015年分别达到 3.28 亿t和 624 亿m3。据中国工程院和国际能源署(IEA)等单位预测:中国未来将长期处于油气短缺状态,石油对外依存度将从2015 年的 65%提高到 2030 年的 80%以上;油气资源在中国能源结构中的比率目前不到 23%,与美国的 67%和俄罗斯的 75%相比严重偏低,大幅度提高油气资源的比率对于减少污染和提高人民生活水平具有现实意义。 中国油气资源丰富,但地质条件十分复杂且开发成本高。具体表现为:中国的油气资源分布高度不均,在不同盆地、不同年代地层、不同埋藏深度条件下差异性大;中国油气资源中非常规油气资源比率高且种类多;中国油气资源中易勘探开发的常规油气资源比率少、油气资源品质总体较差、剩余油气资源赋存的地质条件恶劣,勘探难度大且成本高。中国油气资源勘探开发研究虽取得了重大进展,但仍与国外先进水平有较大差距。理论上,在中国复杂叠合盆地的形成演化、地层划分、岩石类型成因、天然气成因类型鉴别等方面取得了重要进展;技术上,在复杂地质条件下的油气勘探技术、复杂油气藏的开发与开采技术等方面取得了重要进展;装备上,研发了超万米钻机、海洋 985 钻井平台、大型压裂车、X100 级管线钢、地质导向PDC钻头等设备。尽管如此,中国在非常规、深层、深海等关键领域的油气勘探开发技术上还大幅度落后于发达国家,处于领先的高新技术所占比率不超过 30%,60%以上的技术处于跟踪状态。中国油气资源研究面临 3 方面挑战:一是中国国内油气资源勘探开发的难度大且成本高,每年发现储量增长缓慢,储产比非常低,需要加大关键技术研发力度;二是中国油气资源勘探开发关键技术研发投入的经费少且变化性大,不利于原创性技术的产生与应用,需要调整基础研究、技术研发和规模化应用的投入比率;三是中国非常规油气资源、深层油气资源、深海油气资源、老区剩余油气资源等较为丰富、目前储量增长势头良好,反映了油气资源的发展方向,但当前面临的突出问题需要集中力量予以解决。
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关键词 : 中国油气资源; 油气勘探开发; 非常规油气; 深层油气; 深海油气
Abstract

  Hydrocarbon resources will be in short supply in the future in China. Since 1993, China has been a net importer of oil while oil and gas imports increase year by year. The amounts imported reached 328 million tons of oil and 62.4 billion cubic meters of gas in 2015. External oil dependency will increase from 65% in 2015 to more than 80% in 2030. The Chinese Academy of Engineering and the International Energy Agency (IEA) predict that China will have future long-term oil and gas shortages. The proportion of oil and gas in China’s energy use is less than 23% at present, which is substantially lower than the 75% in the United States and 67% in Russia. A substantial increase in the proportion of oil and gas used has practical significance in reducing pollution and improving people’s living standards. China is rich in oil and gas resources, but the geological conditions are complex and development is expensive. Chinese hydrocarbon resources show many characteristics. Firstly, the oil and gas resource distribution is highly uneven. The characteristics of hydrocarbon resources in different basins, different chronostratigraphy and different burial depths are very different. Secondly, the unconventional oil and gas resources are very varied and large. Finally, the residual conventional oil and gas resources are smaller, poor quality and have adverse geological conditions. Future exploration will face great difficulties and high costs. Although China’s oil and gas exploration research has achieved a great deal, there is still a large gap from advanced foreign levels. In theory, significant progress has been made in understanding the formation and evolution of reservoirs, stratigraphic classification and the origins of different rock types and gas types and China’s complicated superimposed basins. In technology, important progress has been made in oil and gas exploration technology under complicated geological conditions, complex reservoir development and exploitation technology. As to equipment, the ultra-deep drilling, ocean 985 drilling platform, large fracturing truck, X100 grade pipeline steel, geological guide PDC bit and so on have been designed and manufactured. Even so, China still falls far behind developed countries in the key areas of unconventional, deep stratum and deep-sea oil and gas exploration and development. The proportion of leading technologies is no more than 30%. More than 60% technologies are in the tracking state. Three challenges to China’s oil and gas resources research needs to be faced without delay. First, it is currently very difficult and expensive to explore for and develop hydrocarbon resources in China. Discovered reserves are only growing slowly. The ratio of production to reservoir reserves is very low. All of these key technologies need to be studied seriously. Second, the funds invested in the key technologies of oil and gas resources exploration and development are low and changeable. This is harmful to the development and application of original technology. The funding of basic research, technology development and commercial application all need to be increased. Third, in China, the unconventional, deep, deep-sea and residual oil and gas resources are abundant, and the actual reserves increase rapidly. All of these would be the development directions of oil and gas resources. But first of all, the serious challenges currently need to be tackled and solved as soon as possible.

Key words: China hydrocarbon resources ; oil and gas exploration and development ; unconventional oil and gas ; deep oil and gas ; deep-sea oil and gas
收稿日期: 2018-05-30     
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贾承造,庞雄奇,姜福杰. 中国油气资源研究现状与发展方向[J]. 石油科学通报, 2016, 1(1): 2-23. JIA Chengzao, PANG Xiongqi, JIANG Fujie. Research status and development directions of hydrocarbon resources in China. 石油科学通报, 2016, 1(1): 2-23.
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