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首页» 过刊浏览» 2017» Vol. 2» Issue (2) 309-318     DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2017.02.029
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能源投入回报法与折现现金流法的关联分析
陈英超,冯连勇,王建良
中国石油大学(北京)工商管理学院,北京102249
Correlation analysis of Energy Return On Investment and Discounted Cash Flow
CHEN Yingchao, FENG Lianyong, WANG Jianliang
School of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China

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摘要  能源投入回报法是一种新兴的能源资源开发评价方法,区别于以货币为衡量标准的折现现金流法,其关注能源资源开发过程中的能量流。本文从理论和数理公式两方面探索能源投入回报法与折现现金流法之间的关联,并对两者的衡量标准进行了分析,最后以大庆油田为例进行了实例研究。研究发现,仅通过折现现金流法对能源资源开发项目可行性进行的评价并不充分,从社会可持续发展的角度,社会需要源源不断的能源供应,而折现现金流法难以保证能源资源开发能够产出净能源;但是侧重能源的投入与产出的能源投入回报法并没有形成具有普遍性的公认判断标准,所以针对同一种能源资源,能源投入回报值应该作为一种辅助指标,结合折现现金流的衡量标准,共同对能源资源开发项目的可行性进行判断。
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关键词 : 折现现金流, 能源投入回报, 能源资源, 开发评价, 大庆油田
Abstract

  Focusing on the energy flow, Energy Return On Investment (EROI) is a method for evaluating energy resources exploitation, which is different from the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method taking money as the criterion of judgment. In this paper, we explore the correlation between EROI and DCF in the perspective of theory and mathematical formula. What is more, the judgment criteria of the two methods have been analyzed, and we take the Daqing oilfield as a case study. It is found that evaluating energy resources exploitation projects only by DCF is insufficient. From the perspective of social sustainable development, the society needs a limitless supply of energy, while DCF is difficult in ensuring the net energy outputs from the energy resources exploitation. Even though EROI can make up this, there is not a generally accepted judgment criterion for projects evaluation. For the same kind of energy resource, EROI should be used as an auxiliary index, combined with DCF, to evaluate the feasibility of energy resources exploitation.

Key words: DCF EROI energy resources exploitation evaluation Daqing oilfield
收稿日期: 2016-09-14     
PACS:    
基金资助:国家自然基金面上项目“非常规油气开发的能源回报评价方法与应用研究”(71373285)、国家自然基金青年项目“页岩气开发环境影响量化评估与管理政策研究”(71503264)、教育部人文社科基金项目“中国页岩气开发潜力及对区域水资源消耗的影响研究”(15YJC630121)、国家自然基金青年项目“我国国民经济中隐含石油的测算、路径分解与出口结构优化研究”(71303258)、国家社科基金重大项目“基于中国石油安全视角的海外油气资源接替战略研究”(11&ZD164)、国家社科基金重大项目“非常规油气开发利用对国家能源安全和社会经济的影响”(13&ZD159)联合资助
通讯作者: 冯连勇, fenglyenergy@163.com
引用本文:   
陈英超,冯连勇,王建良. 能源投入回报法与折现现金流法的关联分析[J]. 石油科学通报, 2017, 2(2): 309-318. CHEN Yingchao, FENG Lianyong, WANG Jianliang. Correlation analysis of Energy Return On Investment and Discounted Cash Flow. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2017, 2(2): 309-318.
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